Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen vs Hibernian Prediction: a narrow Aberdeen win
Our model makes Aberdeen vs Hibernian a narrow Aberdeen win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 316 wins and 130 losses from 446 settled picks, a 70.9% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Aberdeen or HibernianDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today70%1.43
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.3%8.13
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 48Tips44 Power30
- 37Tips44 Form17
- 56Tips44 Attack40
- 52Tips44 Defence32
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Hibernian to score80% recent
Hibernian scored in 8 of their last 10 (10 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 38 percent Aberdeen, 27 percent the draw and 34 percent Hibernian. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Aberdeen and 1.4 from Hibernian, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Aberdeen or Hibernian at 73 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Aberdeen1.30
Hibernian1.39Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Aberdeen vs Hibernian: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Aberdeen vs Hibernian?
Aberdeen. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 34% for Hibernian and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 58%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Aberdeen and 1.4 for Hibernian.
When is Aberdeen vs Hibernian?
Saturday 7 November, 20:45 EAT (17:45 UTC). It is a Scottish Premiership match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.