Saudi Pro League
Abha vs Al Faisaly Prediction: a narrow Abha win
Our model makes Abha vs Al Faisaly a narrow Abha win and low confidence at 45%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Abha or Al FaisalyDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.2%8.20
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 22Tips44 Power29
- 10Tips44 Form23
- 24Tips44 Attack44
- 32Tips44 Defence20
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Abha at 45 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Abha and 1.4 from Al Faisaly, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Abha or Al Faisaly at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Abha vs Al Faisaly: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Abha. Our model gives them a 45% chance of winning, against 28% for Al Faisaly and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Abha and 1.4 for Al Faisaly.
When is Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Tuesday 27 October, 15:40 EAT (12:40 UTC). It is a Saudi Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.