Livescore44

Veikkausliiga

AC Oulu vs VPS Prediction: a narrow AC Oulu win

Our model makes AC Oulu vs VPS a narrow AC Oulu win and low confidence at 39%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow AC Oulu win
Confidencelow (39%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
AC OuluVPS
  • 46Tips44 Power27
  • 43Tips44 Form30
  • 56Tips44 Attack16
  • 40Tips44 Defence36
  • 50Tips44 Goals20

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 39 percent AC Oulu, 28 percent the draw and 33 percent VPS. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from AC Oulu and 1.3 from VPS, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: AC Oulu or VPS at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

AC Oulu win39%
Draw28%
VPS win33%

Expected goals

AC OuluAC Oulu1.27
VPSVPS1.30

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

AC Oulu vs VPS: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in AC Oulu vs VPS?

AC Oulu. Our model gives them a 39% chance of winning, against 33% for VPS and 28% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 50%, with expected goals of 1.3 for AC Oulu and 1.3 for VPS.

When is AC Oulu vs VPS?

Wednesday 28 October, 19:00 EAT (16:00 UTC). It is a Veikkausliiga match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.