National League
Fylde vs Hornchurch Prediction: a narrow Fylde win
Our model makes Fylde vs Hornchurch a narrow Fylde win and low confidence at 53%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 63% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.7 / 1.4).
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today83%1.20
- AFC Fylde or HornchurchDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today63%1.59
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.9%9.17
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 55Tips44 Power41
- 53Tips44 Form40
- 72Tips44 Attack40
- 40Tips44 Defence44
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Fylde to score80% recent
Fylde scored in 8 of their last 10 (18 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has AFC Fylde at 53 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from AFC Fylde and 1.4 from Hornchurch, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent, AFC Fylde or Hornchurch at 76 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Fylde vs Hornchurch: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Fylde vs Hornchurch?
Fylde. Our model gives them a 53% chance of winning, against 24% for Hornchurch and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 63%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 62%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Fylde and 1.4 for Hornchurch.
When is Fylde vs Hornchurch?
Friday 30 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a National League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.