Livescore44

Allsvenskan

AIK vs IF Elfsborg Prediction: a narrow IF Elfsborg win

Our model makes AIK vs IF Elfsborg a narrow IF Elfsborg win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow IF Elfsborg win
Confidencelow (42%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
AIKIF Elfsborg
  • 50Tips44 Power65
  • 50Tips44 Form60
  • 88Tips44 Attack64
  • 12Tips44 Defence72
  • 80Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • AIK to score90% recent

    AIK scored in 9 of their last 10 (22 goals).

  • IF Elfsborg to score80% recent

    IF Elfsborg scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has IF Elfsborg at 42 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from AIK and 1.5 from IF Elfsborg, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: AIK or IF Elfsborg at 73 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

AIK win31%
Draw27%
IF Elfsborg win42%

Expected goals

AIKAIK1.47
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg1.46

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

AIK vs IF Elfsborg: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in AIK vs IF Elfsborg?

IF Elfsborg. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 31% for AIK and 27% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 1.5 for AIK and 1.5 for IF Elfsborg.

When is AIK vs IF Elfsborg?

Tuesday 27 October, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Allsvenskan match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.