Saudi Pro League
Al-Kholood vs Al-Khaleej Prediction: a narrow Al-Kholood win
Our model makes Al-Kholood vs Al-Khaleej a narrow Al-Kholood win and low confidence at 44%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Al-Kholood or Al-KhaleejDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.8%9.26
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 34Tips44 Power41
- 37Tips44 Form43
- 64Tips44 Attack56
- 0Tips44 Defence24
- 80Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals95% recent · model 74%
10 of Al-Kholood's last 10 and 9 of Al-Khaleej's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Al-Khaleej to score80% recent
Al-Khaleej scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 55%
Both teams scored in 7 of Al-Kholood's last 10 and 7 of Al-Khaleej's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Al-Kholood at 44 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Al-Kholood and 1.6 from Al-Khaleej, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Al-Kholood or Al-Khaleej at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Al-Kholood1.56
Al-Khaleej1.55Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Al-Kholood vs Al-Khaleej: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Al-Kholood vs Al-Khaleej?
Al-Kholood. Our model gives them a 44% chance of winning, against 29% for Al-Khaleej and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%. Both teams scored in 7 of Al-Kholood's last 10 and 7 of Al-Khaleej's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 50%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Al-Kholood and 1.6 for Al-Khaleej.
When is Al-Kholood vs Al-Khaleej?
Thursday 5 November, 16:25 EAT (13:25 UTC). It is a Saudi Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.