Saudi Pro League
Al-Nassr vs Neom Prediction: an Al-Nassr win
Our model makes Al-Nassr vs Neom an Al-Nassr win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and moderate confidence at 65%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
Our pre-match call, Al-Nassr to win, won.
This fixture has been played. The call above was published before kickoff, and our settled picks, wins and losses, are on the public record.
The prediction
Al-Nassr favoured at 65% — model xG 2.0 vs 0.9.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Al-Nassr or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Al-Nassr to winMatch result tips today65%1.54
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today11.0%9.09
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Al-Nassr at 65 percent, with the draw at 20 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.0 goals from Al-Nassr and 0.9 from Neom SC, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Al-Nassr or draw at 85 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent and Al-Nassr to win at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 11.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Al-Nassr vs Neom: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Al-Nassr vs Neom?
Al-Nassr. Our model gives them a 65% chance of winning, against 15% for Neom and 20% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Did our model expect both teams to score?
Our model put both teams to score at 55%.
Did our model expect over 2.5 goals?
Our model put over 2.5 goals at 61%, with expected goals of 2.0 for Al-Nassr and 0.9 for Neom.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.