Categoría Primera A
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Nacional Prediction: a narrow Atlético Nacional win
Our model makes Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Nacional a narrow Atlético Nacional win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 59Tips44 Power63
- 53Tips44 Form60
- 68Tips44 Attack68
- 56Tips44 Defence60
- 50Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Atlético Bucaramanga to score90% recent
Atlético Bucaramanga scored in 9 of their last 10 (17 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 69%
9 of Atlético Bucaramanga's last 10 and 8 of Atlético Nacional's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score70% recent · model 49%
Both teams scored in 8 of Atlético Bucaramanga's last 10 and 6 of Atlético Nacional's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Atlético Nacional at 42 percent, with the draw at 30 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.1 goals from Atlético Bucaramanga and 1.3 from Atlético Nacional, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Nacional: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Nacional?
Atlético Nacional. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 29% for Atlético Bucaramanga and 30% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 49%. Both teams scored in 8 of Atlético Bucaramanga's last 10 and 6 of Atlético Nacional's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 43%, with expected goals of 1.1 for Atlético Bucaramanga and 1.3 for Atlético Nacional.
When is Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Nacional?
Tuesday 3 November, 04:15 EAT (01:15 UTC). It is a Categoría Primera A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.