Livescore44

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors Prediction: a narrow Argentinos Juniors win

Our model makes Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors a narrow Argentinos Juniors win and low confidence at 36%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Argentinos Juniors win
Confidencelow (36%)

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Atlético TucumánArgentinos Juniors
  • 45Tips44 Power52
  • 40Tips44 Form53
  • 40Tips44 Attack36
  • 56Tips44 Defence68
  • 40Tips44 Goals20

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 33 percent Atlético Tucumán, 31 percent the draw and 36 percent Argentinos Juniors. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 0.9 goals from Atlético Tucumán and 1.2 from Argentinos Juniors, a combined 2.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Over 8.5 corners at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Atlético Tucumán win33%
Draw31%
Argentinos Juniors win36%

Expected goals

Atlético Tucumán crestAtlético Tucumán0.95
Argentinos Juniors crestArgentinos Juniors1.19

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?

Argentinos Juniors. Our model gives them a 36% chance of winning, against 33% for Atlético Tucumán and 31% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 45%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 38%, with expected goals of 0.9 for Atlético Tucumán and 1.2 for Argentinos Juniors.

When is Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors?

Tuesday 3 November, 03:15 EAT (00:15 UTC). It is a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.