Categoría Primera A
Boyacá Chicó vs Junior Barranquilla Prediction: a narrow Junior Barranquilla win
Our model makes Boyacá Chicó vs Junior Barranquilla a narrow Junior Barranquilla win and low confidence at 44%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Junior Barranquilla or drawDouble chance tips today72%1.39
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today13.0%7.69
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 44Tips44 Power49
- 43Tips44 Form43
- 40Tips44 Attack60
- 48Tips44 Defence44
- 50Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Junior Barranquilla to score80% recent
Junior Barranquilla scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Junior Barranquilla at 44 percent, with the draw at 28 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.1 goals from Boyacá Chicó FC and 1.3 from Junior Barranquilla, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Junior Barranquilla or draw at 72 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Boyacá Chicó vs Junior Barranquilla: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Boyacá Chicó vs Junior Barranquilla?
Junior Barranquilla. Our model gives them a 44% chance of winning, against 28% for Boyacá Chicó and 28% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 50%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 44%, with expected goals of 1.1 for Boyacá Chicó and 1.3 for Junior Barranquilla.
When is Boyacá Chicó vs Junior Barranquilla?
Wednesday 28 October, 04:05 EAT (01:05 UTC). It is a Categoría Primera A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.