Segunda División
Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Castellón Prediction: a narrow Castellón win
Our model makes Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Castellón a narrow Castellón win and low confidence at 37%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 56Tips44 Power82
- 57Tips44 Form77
- 52Tips44 Attack84
- 60Tips44 Defence84
- 50Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Castellón to score80% recent
Castellón scored in 8 of their last 10 (21 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 35 percent Burgos Club de Fútbol, 28 percent the draw and 37 percent CD Castellón. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Burgos Club de Fútbol and 1.3 from CD Castellón, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Castellón: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Castellón?
Castellón. Our model gives them a 37% chance of winning, against 35% for Burgos Club de Fútbol and 28% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 52%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Burgos Club de Fútbol and 1.3 for Castellón.
When is Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Castellón?
Sunday 1 November, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a Segunda División match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.