Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse Prediction: a narrow CA Bizertin win
Our model makes CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse a narrow CA Bizertin win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 53%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 272 wins and 136 losses from 408 settled picks, a 66.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- CA Bizertin (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today83%1.20
- CA Bizertin or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today22.3%4.48
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has CA Bizertin at 53 percent, with the draw at 30 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from CA Bizertin and 0.5 from ES Hammam-Sousse, a combined 1.7, which is a low total and argues against the goals markets. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: CA Bizertin (draw no bet) at 83 percent and CA Bizertin or draw at 82 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 22.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.