Segunda División
Cádiz vs Real Oviedo Prediction: a narrow Real Oviedo win
Our model makes Cádiz vs Real Oviedo a narrow Real Oviedo win and low confidence at 36%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 316 wins and 130 losses from 446 settled picks, a 70.9% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.3%8.13
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 46Tips44 Power53
- 33Tips44 Form50
- 60Tips44 Attack76
- 44Tips44 Defence32
- 60Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Real Oviedo to score90% recent
Real Oviedo scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 45%
6 of Cádiz's last 10 and 8 of Real Oviedo's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 2.9 and 3.6 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 35 percent Cádiz, 30 percent the draw and 36 percent Real Oviedo. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Cádiz and 1.2 from Real Oviedo, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Cádiz1.43
Real Oviedo1.22Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Cádiz vs Real Oviedo: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Cádiz vs Real Oviedo?
Real Oviedo. Our model gives them a 36% chance of winning, against 35% for Cádiz and 30% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 45%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Cádiz and 1.2 for Real Oviedo.
When is Cádiz vs Real Oviedo?
Saturday 7 November, 18:15 EAT (15:15 UTC). It is a Segunda División match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.