Liga MX Apertura
CD Guadalajara vs Atlante FC Prediction: a narrow CD Guadalajara win
Our model makes CD Guadalajara vs Atlante FC a narrow CD Guadalajara win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 58%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
CD Guadalajara favoured at 58% — model xG 1.7 vs 0.9.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 241 wins and 121 losses from 362 settled picks, a 66.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- CD Guadalajara or drawDouble chance tips today83%1.20
- CD Guadalajara (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today77%1.30
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today74%1.35
- CD Guadalajara to winMatch result tips today58%1.72
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today12.6%7.94
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has CD Guadalajara at 58 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from CD Guadalajara and 0.9 from Atlante FC, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by CD Guadalajara or draw at 83 percent, CD Guadalajara (draw no bet) at 77 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 12.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.