Segunda División
Celta Fortuna vs Córdoba Prediction: a narrow Celta Fortuna win
Our model makes Celta Fortuna vs Córdoba a narrow Celta Fortuna win and low confidence at 39%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 64% — combined xG 3.4.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today84%1.19
- Celta Fortuna or CórdobaDouble chance tips today77%1.30
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today64%1.56
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today63%1.59
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.7%10.31
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 39Tips44 Power47
- 37Tips44 Form50
- 64Tips44 Attack60
- 16Tips44 Defence32
- 60Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals95% recent · model 84%
10 of Celta Fortuna's last 10 and 9 of Córdoba's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Córdoba to score90% recent
Córdoba scored in 9 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- Celta Fortuna to score80% recent
Celta Fortuna scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 63%
Both teams scored in 7 of Celta Fortuna's last 10 and 7 of Córdoba's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 39 percent Celta Fortuna, 23 percent the draw and 38 percent Córdoba. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Celta Fortuna and 1.7 from Córdoba, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent, Celta Fortuna or Córdoba at 77 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Celta Fortuna vs Córdoba: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Celta Fortuna vs Córdoba?
Celta Fortuna. Our model gives them a 39% chance of winning, against 38% for Córdoba and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 63%. Both teams scored in 7 of Celta Fortuna's last 10 and 7 of Córdoba's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Celta Fortuna and 1.7 for Córdoba.
When is Celta Fortuna vs Córdoba?
Saturday 31 October, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a Segunda División match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.