Livescore44

Coupe de France

Chambéry Savoie Foot vs Grenoble Foot 38 Prediction: a narrow Grenoble Foot 38 win

Our model makes Chambéry Savoie Foot vs Grenoble Foot 38 a narrow Grenoble Foot 38 win and high confidence at 86%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Grenoble Foot 38 win
Confidencehigh (86%)
Market we would callGrenoble Foot 38 to win

Grenoble Foot 38 favoured at 86%, with model xG of 1.4 vs 1.7.

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Grenoble Foot 38 at 86 percent, with the draw at 8 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Chambéry Savoie Foot and 1.7 from Grenoble Foot 38, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Grenoble Foot 38 to win at 85 percent, Grenoble Foot 38 or draw at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Chambéry Savoie Foot win5%
Draw8%
Grenoble Foot 38 win86%

Expected goals

Chambéry Savoie Foot crestChambéry Savoie Foot1.44
Grenoble Foot 38 crestGrenoble Foot 381.71

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Chambéry Savoie Foot vs Grenoble Foot 38: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Chambéry Savoie Foot vs Grenoble Foot 38?

Grenoble Foot 38. Our model gives them an 86% chance of winning, against 5% for Chambéry Savoie Foot and 8% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 36%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 71%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Chambéry Savoie Foot and 1.7 for Grenoble Foot 38.

When is Chambéry Savoie Foot vs Grenoble Foot 38?

Thursday 12 November, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Coupe de France match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.