Parva Liga
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa Prediction: a narrow Cherno More Varna win
Our model makes Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa a narrow Cherno More Varna win and low confidence at 43%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Cherno More Varna or drawDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.9%7.75
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 28Tips44 Power30
- 27Tips44 Form30
- 44Tips44 Attack32
- 12Tips44 Defence28
- 60Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Cherno More Varna at 43 percent, with the draw at 30 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Cherno More Varna and 1.0 from Botev Vratsa, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Cherno More Varna or draw at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Cherno More Varna. Our model gives them a 43% chance of winning, against 27% for Botev Vratsa and 30% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 49%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 43%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Cherno More Varna and 1.0 for Botev Vratsa.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Monday 2 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Parva Liga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.