NWSL
Chicago Stars FC vs Houston Dash Prediction: a narrow Houston Dash win
Our model makes Chicago Stars FC vs Houston Dash a narrow Houston Dash win, with a most likely score of 1-1 and low confidence at 45%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 272 wins and 136 losses from 408 settled picks, a 66.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Chicago Stars FC or Houston DashDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Houston Dash (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today72%1.39
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.8%9.26
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Houston Dash at 45 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.1 goals from Chicago Stars FC and 1.8 from Houston Dash, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Chicago Stars FC or Houston Dash at 74 percent and Houston Dash (draw no bet) at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.