Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction: a narrow Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe win
Our model makes Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe vs Vélez Sarsfield a narrow Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe win and low confidence at 40%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 316 wins and 130 losses from 446 settled picks, a 70.9% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 50Tips44 Power60
- 47Tips44 Form57
- 68Tips44 Attack72
- 36Tips44 Defence52
- 70Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 70%
10 of Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe's last 10 and 8 of Vélez Sarsfield's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Vélez Sarsfield to score90% recent
Vélez Sarsfield scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).
- Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe to score80% recent
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe scored in 8 of their last 10 (17 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 50%
Both teams scored in 8 of Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe's last 10 and 6 of Vélez Sarsfield's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe at 40 percent, with the draw at 30 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe and 1.1 from Vélez Sarsfield, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe1.30
Vélez Sarsfield1.12Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe vs Vélez Sarsfield: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning, against 31% for Vélez Sarsfield and 30% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 50%. Both teams scored in 8 of Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe's last 10 and 6 of Vélez Sarsfield's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 44%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe and 1.1 for Vélez Sarsfield.
When is Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Saturday 7 November, 01:00 EAT (22:00 UTC). It is a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.