Livescore44

League Two

Colchester United vs Walsall Prediction: a narrow Colchester United win

Our model makes Colchester United vs Walsall a narrow Colchester United win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Colchester United win
Confidencelow (38%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Colchester UnitedWalsall
  • 34Tips44 Power55
  • 27Tips44 Form50
  • 28Tips44 Attack60
  • 48Tips44 Defence56
  • 20Tips44 Goals40

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Walsall to score80% recent

    Walsall scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 38 percent Colchester United, 30 percent the draw and 32 percent Walsall. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Colchester United and 1.1 from Walsall, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Colchester United win38%
Draw30%
Walsall win32%

Expected goals

Colchester UnitedColchester United1.26
WalsallWalsall1.15

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Colchester United vs Walsall: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Colchester United vs Walsall?

Colchester United. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 32% for Walsall and 30% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 50%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 44%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Colchester United and 1.1 for Walsall.

When is Colchester United vs Walsall?

Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League Two match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.