League Two
Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet Prediction: a narrow Barnet win
Our model makes Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet a narrow Barnet win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Crewe Alexandra or BarnetDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today65%1.54
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.8%8.47
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 46Tips44 Power62
- 47Tips44 Form63
- 56Tips44 Attack84
- 36Tips44 Defence40
- 40Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Barnet to score100% recent
Barnet scored in 10 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals95% recent · model 77%
9 of Crewe Alexandra's last 10 and 10 of Barnet's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score90% recent · model 56%
Both teams scored in 8 of Crewe Alexandra's last 10 and 10 of Barnet's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Crewe Alexandra to score90% recent
Crewe Alexandra scored in 9 of their last 10 (14 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Barnet at 42 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Crewe Alexandra and 1.5 from Barnet, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Crewe Alexandra or Barnet at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet?
Barnet. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 31% for Crewe Alexandra and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 56%. Both teams scored in 8 of Crewe Alexandra's last 10 and 10 of Barnet's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Crewe Alexandra and 1.5 for Barnet.
When is Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League Two match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.