Liga Portugal Betclic
CS Marítimo vs Santa Clara Prediction: a narrow CS Marítimo win
Our model makes CS Marítimo vs Santa Clara a narrow CS Marítimo win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 34Tips44 Power64
- 37Tips44 Form63
- 44Tips44 Attack60
- 20Tips44 Defence68
- 80Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Santa Clara to score90% recent
Santa Clara scored in 9 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- CS Marítimo to score80% recent
CS Marítimo scored in 8 of their last 10 (11 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 38 percent CS Marítimo, 30 percent the draw and 32 percent Santa Clara. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from CS Marítimo and 1.1 from Santa Clara, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
CS Marítimo vs Santa Clara: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in CS Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
CS Marítimo. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 32% for Santa Clara and 30% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 49%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 43%, with expected goals of 1.2 for CS Marítimo and 1.1 for Santa Clara.
When is CS Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
Sunday 1 November, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Liga Portugal Betclic match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.