Liga Portugal Betclic
CS Marítimo vs Santa Clara Prediction: a narrow Santa Clara win
Our model makes CS Marítimo vs Santa Clara a narrow Santa Clara win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Santa Clara or drawDouble chance tips today72%1.39
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today13.1%7.63
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 28Tips44 Power64
- 27Tips44 Form63
- 44Tips44 Attack60
- 12Tips44 Defence68
- 90Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Santa Clara to score90% recent
Santa Clara scored in 9 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- CS Marítimo to score80% recent
CS Marítimo scored in 8 of their last 10 (11 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 39%
9 of CS Marítimo's last 10 and 5 of Santa Clara's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.3 and 2.3 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Santa Clara at 42 percent, with the draw at 30 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from CS Marítimo and 1.1 from Santa Clara, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Santa Clara or draw at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
CS Marítimo1.24
Santa Clara1.14Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
CS Marítimo vs Santa Clara: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in CS Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
Santa Clara. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 28% for CS Marítimo and 30% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 46%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 39%, with expected goals of 1.2 for CS Marítimo and 1.1 for Santa Clara.
When is CS Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
Sunday 1 November, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Liga Portugal Betclic match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.