Ligue 2
Dijon vs Red Star Prediction: a narrow Red Star win
Our model makes Dijon vs Red Star a narrow Red Star win and low confidence at 37%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 317 wins and 134 losses from 451 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Dijon or Red Star FCDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.2%9.80
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 53Tips44 Power45
- 50Tips44 Form47
- 84Tips44 Attack52
- 24Tips44 Defence36
- 80Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Dijon to score100% recent
Dijon scored in 10 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Both teams to score85% recent · model 59%
Both teams scored in 10 of Dijon's last 10 and 7 of Red Star's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Red Star to score80% recent
Red Star scored in 8 of their last 10 (13 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 55%
8 of Dijon's last 10 and 6 of Red Star's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 4 and 2.9 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent Dijon, 27 percent the draw and 37 percent Red Star FC. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Dijon and 1.5 from Red Star FC, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Dijon or Red Star FC at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Dijon1.75
Red Star FC1.49Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Dijon vs Red Star: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Dijon vs Red Star?
Red Star. Our model gives them a 37% chance of winning, against 36% for Dijon and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%. Both teams scored in 10 of Dijon's last 10 and 7 of Red Star's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Dijon and 1.5 for Red Star.
When is Dijon vs Red Star?
Friday 6 November, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Ligue 2 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.