Saudi Pro League
Diriyah vs Neom Prediction: a narrow Neom win
Our model makes Diriyah vs Neom a narrow Neom win and low confidence at 37%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Diriyah or Neom SCDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today13.1%7.63
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 49Tips44 Power59
- 50Tips44 Form53
- 36Tips44 Attack56
- 60Tips44 Defence68
- 30Tips44 Goals20
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent Diriyah, 27 percent the draw and 37 percent Neom SC. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from Diriyah and 1.2 from Neom SC, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Diriyah or Neom SC at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Diriyah vs Neom: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Diriyah vs Neom?
Neom. Our model gives them a 37% chance of winning, against 36% for Diriyah and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 51%, with expected goals of 1.2 for Diriyah and 1.2 for Neom.
When is Diriyah vs Neom?
Friday 30 October, 17:50 EAT (14:50 UTC). It is a Saudi Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.