Livescore44

Scottish Premiership

Dundee United vs Heart of Midlothian Prediction: a narrow Heart of Midlothian win

Our model makes Dundee United vs Heart of Midlothian a narrow Heart of Midlothian win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Heart of Midlothian win
Confidencelow (38%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Dundee UnitedHeart of Midlothian
  • 50Tips44 Power55
  • 50Tips44 Form57
  • 56Tips44 Attack72
  • 44Tips44 Defence36
  • 50Tips44 Goals60

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Over 1.5 goals95% recent · model 78%

    9 of Dundee United's last 10 and 10 of Heart of Midlothian's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today
  • Heart of Midlothian to score90% recent

    Heart of Midlothian scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent Dundee United, 26 percent the draw and 38 percent Heart of Midlothian. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Dundee United and 1.5 from Heart of Midlothian, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Dundee United or Heart of Midlothian at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 71 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Dundee United win36%
Draw26%
Heart of Midlothian win38%

Expected goals

Dundee UnitedDundee United1.43
Heart of MidlothianHeart of Midlothian1.46

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Dundee United vs Heart of Midlothian: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Dundee United vs Heart of Midlothian?

Heart of Midlothian. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 36% for Dundee United and 26% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Dundee United and 1.5 for Heart of Midlothian.

When is Dundee United vs Heart of Midlothian?

Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Scottish Premiership match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.