Scottish Premiership
Dundee United vs Motherwell Prediction: a narrow Dundee United win
Our model makes Dundee United vs Motherwell a narrow Dundee United win and low confidence at 46%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.5 / 1.4).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 316 wins and 130 losses from 446 settled picks, a 70.9% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Dundee United or MotherwellDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.7%8.55
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 50Tips44 Power33
- 50Tips44 Form27
- 60Tips44 Attack48
- 40Tips44 Defence24
- 60Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 81%
9 of Dundee United's last 10 and 8 of Motherwell's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Dundee United at 46 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Dundee United and 1.4 from Motherwell, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent, Dundee United or Motherwell at 75 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Dundee United1.48
Motherwell1.39Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Dundee United vs Motherwell: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Dundee United vs Motherwell?
Dundee United. Our model gives them a 46% chance of winning, against 29% for Motherwell and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 59%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Dundee United and 1.4 for Motherwell.
When is Dundee United vs Motherwell?
Saturday 7 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Scottish Premiership match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.