Scottish Premiership
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United Prediction: a narrow Dundee United win
Our model makes St. Johnstone vs Dundee United a narrow Dundee United win and low confidence at 37%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
Our pre-match call, Dundee United to win, lost.
This fixture has been played. The call above was published before kickoff, and our settled picks, wins and losses, are on the public record.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- St. Johnstone or Dundee UnitedDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.3%8.13
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent St. Johnstone, 27 percent the draw and 37 percent Dundee United. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from St. Johnstone and 1.3 from Dundee United, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: St. Johnstone or Dundee United at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in St. Johnstone vs Dundee United?
Dundee United. Our model gives them a 37% chance of winning, against 36% for St. Johnstone and 27% for the draw.
Did our model expect both teams to score?
Our model put both teams to score at 57%.
Did our model expect over 2.5 goals?
Our model put over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 1.4 for St. Johnstone and 1.3 for Dundee United.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.