Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
ES Métlaoui vs ES Zarzis Prediction: a draw
Our model makes ES Métlaoui vs ES Zarzis a draw, with a most likely score of 0-0 and low confidence at 36%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 30Tips44 Power60
- 23Tips44 Form60
- 20Tips44 Attack44
- 48Tips44 Defence76
- 40Tips44 Goals20
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- ES Zarzis to score80% recent
ES Zarzis scored in 8 of their last 10 (11 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 32 percent ES Métlaoui, 36 percent the draw and 32 percent ES Zarzis. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 0.9 goals from ES Métlaoui and 0.9 from ES Zarzis, a combined 1.8, which is a low total and argues against the goals markets. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-0, though at 16.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
ES Métlaoui vs ES Zarzis: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in ES Métlaoui vs ES Zarzis?
Neither side clearly. Our model's most likely result is a draw (36%), with ES Métlaoui at 32% and ES Zarzis at 32%.
What is the predicted score?
0-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 40%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 29%, with expected goals of 0.9 for ES Métlaoui and 0.9 for ES Zarzis.
When is ES Métlaoui vs ES Zarzis?
Sunday 1 November, 16:30 EAT (13:30 UTC). It is a Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.