La Liga
Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruña Prediction: a narrow Deportivo de A Coruña win
Our model makes Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruña a narrow Deportivo de A Coruña win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Espanyol or Deportivo de A CoruñaDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.2%8.20
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 39Tips44 Power43
- 30Tips44 Form33
- 44Tips44 Attack56
- 44Tips44 Defence40
- 50Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Espanyol to score90% recent
Espanyol scored in 9 of their last 10 (11 goals).
- Deportivo de A Coruña to score80% recent
Deportivo de A Coruña scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 54%
Both teams scored in 7 of Espanyol's last 10 and 7 of Deportivo de A Coruña's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 34 percent Espanyol, 27 percent the draw and 38 percent Deportivo de A Coruña. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Espanyol and 1.4 from Deportivo de A Coruña, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Espanyol or Deportivo de A Coruña at 73 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Espanyol1.32
Deportivo de A Coruña1.39Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruña: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruña?
Deportivo de A Coruña. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 34% for Espanyol and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 54%. Both teams scored in 7 of Espanyol's last 10 and 7 of Deportivo de A Coruña's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 51%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Espanyol and 1.4 for Deportivo de A Coruña.
When is Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruña?
Saturday 7 November, 18:15 EAT (15:15 UTC). It is a La Liga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.