Livescore44

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1

Etoile Sportive Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien Prediction: a narrow CS Sfaxien win

Our model makes Etoile Sportive Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien a narrow CS Sfaxien win and low confidence at 37%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow CS Sfaxien win
Confidencelow (37%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Etoile Sportive Du SahelCS Sfaxien
  • 36Tips44 Power56
  • 33Tips44 Form53
  • 40Tips44 Attack44
  • 36Tips44 Defence72
  • 50Tips44 Goals20

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has CS Sfaxien at 37 percent, with the draw at 36 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 0.8 goals from Etoile Sportive Du Sahel and 1.0 from CS Sfaxien, a combined 1.8, which is a low total and argues against the goals markets. One market clears our bar on this fixture: CS Sfaxien or draw at 72 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-0, though at 15.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Etoile Sportive Du Sahel win28%
Draw36%
CS Sfaxien win37%

Expected goals

Etoile Sportive Du SahelEtoile Sportive Du Sahel0.85
CS SfaxienCS Sfaxien0.99

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Etoile Sportive Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Etoile Sportive Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

CS Sfaxien. Our model gives them a 37% chance of winning, against 28% for Etoile Sportive Du Sahel and 36% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 30%, with expected goals of 0.8 for Etoile Sportive Du Sahel and 1.0 for CS Sfaxien.

When is Etoile Sportive Du Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?

Sunday 1 November, 16:30 EAT (13:30 UTC). It is a Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.