Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction: a narrow Excelsior win
Our model makes Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles a narrow Excelsior win and low confidence at 44%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 63% — combined xG 3.3.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today83%1.20
- Excelsior or Go Ahead EaglesDouble chance tips today77%1.30
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today63%1.59
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today62%1.61
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.9%10.10
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 42Tips44 Power49
- 37Tips44 Form47
- 64Tips44 Attack92
- 24Tips44 Defence8
- 90Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Go Ahead Eagles to score100% recent
Go Ahead Eagles scored in 10 of their last 10 (23 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals85% recent · model 63%
9 of Excelsior's last 10 and 8 of Go Ahead Eagles's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.5 and 4.6 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score80% recent · model 62%
Both teams scored in 6 of Excelsior's last 10 and 10 of Go Ahead Eagles's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today - Excelsior to score80% recent
Excelsior scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Excelsior at 44 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Excelsior and 1.5 from Go Ahead Eagles, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent, Excelsior or Go Ahead Eagles at 77 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Excelsior1.78
Go Ahead Eagles1.54Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Excelsior. Our model gives them a 44% chance of winning, against 33% for Go Ahead Eagles and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 62%. Both teams scored in 6 of Excelsior's last 10 and 10 of Go Ahead Eagles's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Excelsior and 1.5 for Go Ahead Eagles.
When is Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Saturday 7 November, 23:00 EAT (20:00 UTC). It is a Eredivisie match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.