Livescore44

Super League

Luzern vs Sion Prediction: a narrow Luzern win

Our model makes Luzern vs Sion a narrow Luzern win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Luzern win
Confidencelow (41%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 69% — combined xG 3.7.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
LuzernSion
  • 43Tips44 Power50
  • 40Tips44 Form53
  • 76Tips44 Attack76
  • 12Tips44 Defence20
  • 80Tips44 Goals80

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Luzern to score90% recent

    Luzern scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).

  • Sion to score90% recent

    Sion scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).

  • Over 2.5 goals80% recent · model 69%

    8 of Luzern's last 10 and 8 of Sion's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 4.1 and 3.9 a game).

    More over 2.5 goals picks today
  • Both teams to score75% recent · model 66%

    Both teams scored in 8 of Luzern's last 10 and 7 of Sion's last 10.

    More both teams to score picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 41 percent FC Luzern, 22 percent the draw and 37 percent FC Sion. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from FC Luzern and 1.8 from FC Sion, a combined 3.7, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, FC Luzern or FC Sion at 78 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 69 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 8.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Luzern win41%
Draw22%
Sion win37%

Expected goals

FC LuzernFC Luzern1.87
FC SionFC Sion1.78

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Luzern vs Sion: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Luzern vs Sion?

Luzern. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 37% for Sion and 22% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 66%. Both teams scored in 8 of Luzern's last 10 and 7 of Sion's last 10.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 69%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Luzern and 1.8 for Sion.

When is Luzern vs Sion?

Saturday 31 October, 22:30 EAT (19:30 UTC). It is a Super League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.