K League 1
Gangwon vs Incheon United Prediction: a narrow Gangwon win
Our model makes Gangwon vs Incheon United a narrow Gangwon win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
Our pre-match call, Gangwon to win, lost.
This fixture has been played. The call above was published before kickoff, and our settled picks, wins and losses, are on the public record.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Gangwon FC at 42 percent, with the draw at 29 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.1 goals from Gangwon FC and 1.1 from Incheon United, a combined 2.3, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Gangwon vs Incheon United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Gangwon vs Incheon United?
Gangwon. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 29% for Incheon United and 29% for the draw.
Did our model expect both teams to score?
Our model put both teams to score at 47%.
Did our model expect over 2.5 goals?
Our model put over 2.5 goals at 41%, with expected goals of 1.1 for Gangwon and 1.1 for Incheon United.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.