Liga Portugal Betclic
Gil Vicente vs Vitória Prediction: a narrow Vitória win
Our model makes Gil Vicente vs Vitória a narrow Vitória win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 43Tips44 Power53
- 40Tips44 Form47
- 40Tips44 Attack48
- 48Tips44 Defence64
- 40Tips44 Goals30
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 34 percent Gil Vicente, 29 percent the draw and 38 percent Vitória SC. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.2 goals from Gil Vicente and 1.2 from Vitória SC, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Gil Vicente1.23
Vitória SC1.18Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Gil Vicente vs Vitória: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Gil Vicente vs Vitória?
Vitória. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 34% for Gil Vicente and 29% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 48%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 43%, with expected goals of 1.2 for Gil Vicente and 1.2 for Vitória.
When is Gil Vicente vs Vitória?
Monday 2 November, 23:15 EAT (20:15 UTC). It is a Liga Portugal Betclic match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.