Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Club Atlético Belgrano Prediction: a narrow Gimnasia y Esgrima win
Our model makes Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Club Atlético Belgrano a narrow Gimnasia y Esgrima win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 316 wins and 130 losses from 446 settled picks, a 70.9% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Gimnasia y Esgrima or drawDouble chance tips today72%1.39
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today13.0%7.69
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 61Tips44 Power46
- 63Tips44 Form43
- 68Tips44 Attack40
- 52Tips44 Defence56
- 60Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Gimnasia y Esgrima to score100% recent
Gimnasia y Esgrima scored in 10 of their last 10 (17 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 68%
10 of Gimnasia y Esgrima's last 10 and 7 of Club Atlético Belgrano's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score70% recent · model 48%
Both teams scored in 9 of Gimnasia y Esgrima's last 10 and 5 of Club Atlético Belgrano's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Gimnasia y Esgrima at 42 percent, with the draw at 30 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Gimnasia y Esgrima and 1.0 from Club Atlético Belgrano, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Gimnasia y Esgrima or draw at 72 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Gimnasia y Esgrima1.31
Club Atlético Belgrano1.04Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Club Atlético Belgrano: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Club Atlético Belgrano?
Gimnasia y Esgrima. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 28% for Club Atlético Belgrano and 30% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 48%. Both teams scored in 9 of Gimnasia y Esgrima's last 10 and 5 of Club Atlético Belgrano's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 42%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Gimnasia y Esgrima and 1.0 for Club Atlético Belgrano.
When is Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Club Atlético Belgrano?
Friday 6 November, 01:15 EAT (22:15 UTC). It is a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.