Ekstraklasa
Górnik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa Prediction: a narrow Górnik Zabrze win
Our model makes Górnik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa a narrow Górnik Zabrze win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Górnik Zabrze or Legia WarszawaDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.1%8.26
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 59Tips44 Power63
- 60Tips44 Form60
- 56Tips44 Attack84
- 60Tips44 Defence44
- 40Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 75%
8 of Górnik Zabrze's last 10 and 10 of Legia Warszawa's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Legia Warszawa to score90% recent
Legia Warszawa scored in 9 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Górnik Zabrze to score80% recent
Górnik Zabrze scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 54%
Both teams scored in 6 of Górnik Zabrze's last 10 and 8 of Legia Warszawa's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Górnik Zabrze at 42 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Górnik Zabrze and 1.3 from Legia Warszawa, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Górnik Zabrze or Legia Warszawa at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Górnik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Górnik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
Górnik Zabrze. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 31% for Legia Warszawa and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 54%. Both teams scored in 6 of Górnik Zabrze's last 10 and 8 of Legia Warszawa's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 51%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Górnik Zabrze and 1.3 for Legia Warszawa.
When is Górnik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
Friday 30 October, 22:30 EAT (19:30 UTC). It is a Ekstraklasa match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.