Super League
Basel vs Grasshopper Club Zürich Prediction: a narrow Basel win
Our model makes Basel vs Grasshopper Club Zürich a narrow Basel win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and low confidence at 57%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
Our pre-match call, Basel to win, lost.
This fixture has been played. The call above was published before kickoff, and our settled picks, wins and losses, are on the public record.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 69% — combined xG 3.4.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Basel or Grasshopper Club ZürichDouble chance tips today79%1.27
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today69%1.45
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today63%1.59
- Basel to winMatch result tips today57%1.75
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.6%10.42
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Basel at 57 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.2 goals from Basel and 1.2 from Grasshopper Club Zürich, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, Basel or Grasshopper Club Zürich at 79 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 69 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Basel vs Grasshopper Club Zürich: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Basel vs Grasshopper Club Zürich?
Basel. Our model gives them a 57% chance of winning, against 22% for Grasshopper Club Zürich and 21% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Did our model expect both teams to score?
Our model put both teams to score at 63%.
Did our model expect over 2.5 goals?
Our model put over 2.5 goals at 69%, with expected goals of 2.2 for Basel and 1.2 for Grasshopper Club Zürich.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.