League Two
Grimsby Town vs York City Prediction: a narrow York City win
Our model makes Grimsby Town vs York City a narrow York City win and low confidence at 45%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Grimsby Town or York CityDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today69%1.45
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.5%8.70
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 49Tips44 Power60
- 40Tips44 Form53
- 64Tips44 Attack68
- 44Tips44 Defence60
- 60Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals95% recent · model 77%
9 of Grimsby Town's last 10 and 10 of York City's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - York City to score90% recent
York City scored in 9 of their last 10 (17 goals).
- Grimsby Town to score80% recent
Grimsby Town scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has York City at 45 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Grimsby Town and 1.6 from York City, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Grimsby Town or York City at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 69 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Grimsby Town vs York City: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Grimsby Town vs York City?
York City. Our model gives them a 45% chance of winning, against 29% for Grimsby Town and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 56%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 54%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Grimsby Town and 1.6 for York City.
When is Grimsby Town vs York City?
Saturday 31 October, 15:30 EAT (12:30 UTC). It is a League Two match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.