Scottish Premiership
Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian Prediction: a narrow Celtic win
Our model makes Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian a narrow Celtic win and low confidence at 59%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
Our pre-match call, Celtic to win, won.
This fixture has been played. The call above was published before kickoff, and our settled picks, wins and losses, are on the public record.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 62% — combined xG 3.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today82%1.22
- Celtic or drawDouble chance tips today81%1.23
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today62%1.61
- Celtic to winMatch result tips today59%1.69
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.9%10.10
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Celtic at 59 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.0 goals from Celtic and 1.1 from Heart of Midlothian, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent, Celtic or draw at 81 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian?
Celtic. Our model gives them a 59% chance of winning, against 20% for Heart of Midlothian and 21% for the draw.
Did our model expect both teams to score?
Our model put both teams to score at 59%.
Did our model expect over 2.5 goals?
Our model put over 2.5 goals at 62%, with expected goals of 2.0 for Celtic and 1.1 for Heart of Midlothian.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.