2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction: a narrow Holstein Kiel win
Our model makes Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld a narrow Holstein Kiel win and low confidence at 42%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Holstein Kiel or Arminia BielefeldDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.5%8.70
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 44Tips44 Power46
- 33Tips44 Form43
- 40Tips44 Attack64
- 60Tips44 Defence32
- 30Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Arminia Bielefeld to score90% recent
Arminia Bielefeld scored in 9 of their last 10 (16 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Holstein Kiel at 42 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Holstein Kiel and 1.4 from Arminia Bielefeld, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Holstein Kiel or Arminia Bielefeld at 74 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Holstein Kiel1.55
Arminia Bielefeld1.35Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Holstein Kiel. Our model gives them a 42% chance of winning, against 32% for Arminia Bielefeld and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Holstein Kiel and 1.4 for Arminia Bielefeld.
When is Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Saturday 7 November, 15:00 EAT (12:00 UTC). It is a 2. Bundesliga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.