National League
Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town Prediction: a narrow Yeovil Town win
Our model makes Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town a narrow Yeovil Town win and low confidence at 40%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Hornchurch or Yeovil TownDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.5%8.70
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 41Tips44 Power68
- 40Tips44 Form60
- 40Tips44 Attack100
- 44Tips44 Defence44
- 60Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Yeovil Town to score100% recent
Yeovil Town scored in 10 of their last 10 (29 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 33 percent Hornchurch, 27 percent the draw and 40 percent Yeovil Town. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Hornchurch and 1.4 from Yeovil Town, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Hornchurch or Yeovil Town at 73 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town?
Yeovil Town. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning, against 33% for Hornchurch and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Hornchurch and 1.4 for Yeovil Town.
When is Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town?
Tuesday 27 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a National League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.