Serie A
Inter vs Como Prediction: a narrow Inter win
Our model makes Inter vs Como a narrow Inter win and low confidence at 44%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Inter or ComoDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.4%8.77
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 71Tips44 Power72
- 73Tips44 Form73
- 96Tips44 Attack84
- 44Tips44 Defence60
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Lautaro Martínez (Inter)
What the last 10 matches say
- Inter to score100% recent
Inter scored in 10 of their last 10 (24 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 78%
9 of Inter's last 10 and 8 of Como's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Como to score80% recent
Como scored in 8 of their last 10 (21 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Inter at 44 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Inter and 1.3 from Como, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Inter or Como at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Inter1.60
Como1.32Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Inter vs Como: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Inter vs Como?
Inter. Our model gives them a 44% chance of winning, against 30% for Como and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Inter and 1.3 for Como.
When is Inter vs Como?
Sunday 8 November, 20:00 EAT (17:00 UTC). It is a Serie A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.