Livescore44

Copa Colombia

Internacional de Bogotá vs América de Cali Prediction: a narrow América de Cali win

Our model makes Internacional de Bogotá vs América de Cali a narrow América de Cali win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow América de Cali win
Confidencelow (41%)

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Internacional de BogotáAmérica de Cali
  • 48Tips44 Power65
  • 40Tips44 Form63
  • 60Tips44 Attack60
  • 44Tips44 Defence72
  • 60Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • América de Cali to score80% recent

    América de Cali scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has América de Cali at 41 percent, with the draw at 29 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Internacional de Bogotá and 1.5 from América de Cali, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Over 8.5 corners at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Internacional de Bogotá win30%
Draw29%
América de Cali win41%

Expected goals

Internacional de Bogotá crestInternacional de Bogotá1.31
América de Cali crestAmérica de Cali1.54

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Internacional de Bogotá vs América de Cali: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Internacional de Bogotá vs América de Cali?

América de Cali. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 30% for Internacional de Bogotá and 29% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 46%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Internacional de Bogotá and 1.5 for América de Cali.

When is Internacional de Bogotá vs América de Cali?

Wednesday 11 November, 02:30 EAT (23:30 UTC). It is a Copa Colombia match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.