Categoría Primera A
Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Medellín Prediction: a narrow Independiente Medellín win
Our model makes Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Medellín a narrow Independiente Medellín win and low confidence at 36%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today12.6%7.94
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 53Tips44 Power34
- 50Tips44 Form27
- 64Tips44 Attack48
- 44Tips44 Defence28
- 60Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 73%
8 of Internacional de Bogotá's last 10 and 9 of Independiente Medellín's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score70% recent · model 55%
Both teams scored in 7 of Internacional de Bogotá's last 10 and 7 of Independiente Medellín's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 35 percent Internacional de Bogotá, 29 percent the draw and 36 percent Independiente Medellín. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Internacional de Bogotá and 1.2 from Independiente Medellín, a combined 2.5, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Medellín: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Medellín?
Independiente Medellín. Our model gives them a 36% chance of winning, against 35% for Internacional de Bogotá and 29% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%. Both teams scored in 7 of Internacional de Bogotá's last 10 and 7 of Independiente Medellín's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Internacional de Bogotá and 1.2 for Independiente Medellín.
When is Internacional de Bogotá vs Independiente Medellín?
Thursday 29 October, 04:05 EAT (01:05 UTC). It is a Categoría Primera A match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.