Premier League
Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth Prediction: a narrow Ipswich Town win
Our model makes Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth a narrow Ipswich Town win and low confidence at 38%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 1.5 at 80% — combined xG 3.1.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today80%1.25
- Ipswich Town or BournemouthDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.9%9.17
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 39Tips44 Power74
- 37Tips44 Form73
- 68Tips44 Attack84
- 12Tips44 Defence64
- 70Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Bournemouth to score90% recent
Bournemouth scored in 9 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Ipswich Town to score80% recent
Ipswich Town scored in 8 of their last 10 (17 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals70% recent · model 58%
7 of Ipswich Town's last 10 and 7 of Bournemouth's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.9 and 3 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 38 percent Ipswich Town, 25 percent the draw and 37 percent Bournemouth. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Ipswich Town and 1.5 from Bournemouth, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent and Ipswich Town or Bournemouth at 75 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Ipswich Town1.56
Bournemouth1.51Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?
Ipswich Town. Our model gives them a 38% chance of winning, against 37% for Bournemouth and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Ipswich Town and 1.5 for Bournemouth.
When is Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?
Sunday 8 November, 17:00 EAT (14:00 UTC). It is a Premier League match.
Where can I watch Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?
Our guide "How to watch the Premier League in Kenya" lists the channels and streaming services that carry it, country by country. Open the guide.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.