Eerste Divisie
Jong FC Utrecht vs Dordrecht Prediction: a narrow Jong FC Utrecht win
Our model makes Jong FC Utrecht vs Dordrecht a narrow Jong FC Utrecht win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 65% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.9 / 1.6).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today84%1.19
- Jong FC Utrecht or FC DordrechtDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today66%1.52
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today65%1.54
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today64%1.56
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today8.8%11.36
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 30Tips44 Power24
- 23Tips44 Form23
- 68Tips44 Attack48
- 0Tips44 Defence0
- 90Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Jong FC Utrecht to score90% recent
Jong FC Utrecht scored in 9 of their last 10 (17 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals80% recent · model 64%
9 of Jong FC Utrecht's last 10 and 7 of Dordrecht's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 4.3 and 4 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score75% recent · model 65%
Both teams scored in 9 of Jong FC Utrecht's last 10 and 6 of Dordrecht's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 41 percent Jong FC Utrecht, 25 percent the draw and 34 percent FC Dordrecht. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Jong FC Utrecht and 1.6 from FC Dordrecht, a combined 3.6, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent, Jong FC Utrecht or FC Dordrecht at 75 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 66 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 8.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Jong FC Utrecht1.95
FC Dordrecht1.65Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Jong FC Utrecht vs Dordrecht: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Jong FC Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
Jong FC Utrecht. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 34% for Dordrecht and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 65%. Both teams scored in 9 of Jong FC Utrecht's last 10 and 6 of Dordrecht's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Jong FC Utrecht and 1.6 for Dordrecht.
When is Jong FC Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
Monday 2 November, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Eerste Divisie match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.