Challenger Pro League
KAA Gent Reserve U23 vs Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring Prediction: a narrow KAA Gent Reserve U23 win
Our model makes KAA Gent Reserve U23 vs Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring a narrow KAA Gent Reserve U23 win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- KAA Gent Reserve U23 or Koninklijke Lierse SportkringDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.8%8.47
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 41Tips44 Power53
- 41Tips44 Form43
- 44Tips44 Attack64
- 38Tips44 Defence52
- 44Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 9 to 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring to score80% recent
Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has KAA Gent Reserve U23 at 41 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from KAA Gent Reserve U23 and 1.3 from Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: KAA Gent Reserve U23 or Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
KAA Gent Reserve U23 vs Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in KAA Gent Reserve U23 vs Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring?
KAA Gent Reserve U23. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 33% for Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 56%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 1.5 for KAA Gent Reserve U23 and 1.3 for Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring.
When is KAA Gent Reserve U23 vs Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring?
Friday 30 October, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Challenger Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.