Livescore44

Trendyol Super Lig

Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş JK Prediction: a narrow Beşiktaş JK win

Our model makes Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş JK a narrow Beşiktaş JK win and low confidence at 59%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Beşiktaş JK win
Confidencelow (59%)
Market we would callBeşiktaş JK to win

Beşiktaş JK favoured at 59%, with model xG of 1.1 vs 1.5.

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Beşiktaş JK at 59 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.1 goals from Kasımpaşa and 1.5 from Beşiktaş JK, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Beşiktaş JK or draw at 82 percent and Beşiktaş JK to win at 59 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Kasımpaşa win18%
Draw22%
Beşiktaş JK win59%

Expected goals

Kasımpaşa crestKasımpaşa1.13
Beşiktaş JK crestBeşiktaş JK1.51

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş JK: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş JK?

Beşiktaş JK. Our model gives them a 59% chance of winning, against 18% for Kasımpaşa and 22% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56%, with expected goals of 1.1 for Kasımpaşa and 1.5 for Beşiktaş JK.

When is Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş JK?

Sunday 1 November, 19:00 EAT (16:00 UTC). It is a Trendyol Super Lig match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.