Segunda División
Leganés vs Burgos Club de Fútbol Prediction: a narrow Leganés win
Our model makes Leganés vs Burgos Club de Fútbol a narrow Leganés win and low confidence at 43%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 20Tips44 Power67
- 17Tips44 Form73
- 32Tips44 Attack72
- 12Tips44 Defence56
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Burgos Club de Fútbol to score90% recent
Burgos Club de Fútbol scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Leganés at 43 percent, with the draw at 29 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.1 goals from Leganés and 1.3 from Burgos Club de Fútbol, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 13.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Leganés1.15
Burgos Club de Fútbol1.28Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Leganés vs Burgos Club de Fútbol: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Leganés vs Burgos Club de Fútbol?
Leganés. Our model gives them a 43% chance of winning, against 28% for Burgos Club de Fútbol and 29% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 44%, with expected goals of 1.1 for Leganés and 1.3 for Burgos Club de Fútbol.
When is Leganés vs Burgos Club de Fútbol?
Friday 13 November, 22:30 EAT (19:30 UTC). It is a Segunda División match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.